# CLEAN WORKSPACE AND LOAD PACKAGES --------------------------------------------
rm(list = ls())
library(datasim)
library(tidyverse)
# SIMULATE MULTIVARIATE SPATIAL DATA -------------------------------------------
# set.seed(4)
Corr <- matrix(c(1, -0.3, 0, -0.3, 1, 0.3, 0, 0.3, 1), nrow = 3)
sigmas <- rep(0.4^0.5, 3)
D <- diag(sigmas)
Cov <- D %*% Corr %*% D
# beta <- c(-0.5, 0, 0.5)
beta <- c(0, 0, 0)
variance <- 0.6 * matrix(c(1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1), nrow = 3)
cor.model <- "exp_cor"
cor.params <- list(list(phi = 0.04), list(phi = 0.04), list(phi = 0.1))
f <- list(
mean ~ mfe(x1, beta = get("beta")) +
mre(factor(id), sigma = get("Cov")) +
mgp(list(s1), variance = get("variance"), cor.model = get("cor.model"),
cor.params = get("cor.params")),
sd ~ I(0)
)
n <- 300
m <- 3
(data_geo <- sim_model(formula = f, n = n, responses = m))
## # A tibble: 900 x 9
## id x1 s1 mre.factor.mean mgp.list.mean mean sd response
## <int> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
## 1 1 0.250 0.769 -0.384 -0.708 -1.09 0 -1.09
## 2 2 0.914 0.359 0.341 0.176 0.517 0 0.517
## 3 3 -0.453 0.316 -0.258 -0.481 -0.739 0 -0.739
## 4 4 -0.757 0.646 0.211 2.54 2.75 0 2.75
## 5 5 -0.832 0.837 0.277 -0.735 -0.458 0 -0.458
## 6 6 0.705 0.404 0.245 -0.686 -0.441 0 -0.441
## 7 7 0.791 0.890 -0.319 -0.0484 -0.367 0 -0.367
## 8 8 -0.0762 0.765 0.137 -1.40 -1.26 0 -1.26
## 9 9 -1.38 0.555 -0.254 1.70 1.45 0 1.45
## 10 10 0.670 0.332 0.696 -0.217 0.479 0 0.479
## # ... with 890 more rows, and 1 more variable: response_label <int>
# knitr::kable(head(data_model, 10))
X <- matrix(rnorm(20), 10, 2)
# VISUALIZE MULTIVARIATE SPATIAL DATA ------------------------------------------
ggplot(data_geo, aes(x1, response)) +
geom_smooth(aes(col = factor(response_label))) +
geom_point(aes(col = factor(response_label)))
## `geom_smooth()` using method = 'loess' and formula 'y ~ x'

ggplot(data_geo, aes(s1, mgp.list.mean)) +
geom_line(aes(col = factor(response_label)))

data_geo %>%
dplyr::select(id, mre.factor.mean, response_label) %>%
spread(response_label, mre.factor.mean) %>%
dplyr::select(-id) %>%
GGally::ggpairs(aes(fill = "any"))

data_geo_wide <- data_geo %>%
dplyr::rename(ability = response, id_person = id) %>%
gather(var, value, mre.factor.mean:ability) %>%
mutate(var = paste0(var, response_label)) %>%
select(-response_label) %>%
spread(var, value)
# SIMULATE ITEM FACTOR DATA ----------------------------------------------------
q <- 10
init_data <- purrr::map(1:q, ~ data_geo_wide) %>%
purrr::reduce(rbind)
# n <- 300
difficulty <- matrix((1:q - 5)/10 * 2, nrow = 1)
discrimination1 <- seq(0.4, 1.5, length.out = q)
discrimination2 <- runif(q, 0, 2)
discrimination3 <- runif(q, 0, 2)
discrimination1[1] <- 1
discrimination1[c(3, 5, 8)] <- 0
discrimination2[1:2] <- c(0, 1)
discrimination2[c(4, 5, 10)] <- 0
# discrimination3[1:3] <- c(0, 0, 1)
# discrimination1 <- discrimination1 * 0.3
# discrimination2 <- discrimination2 * 0.3
cbind(discrimination1, discrimination2, discrimination3)
## discrimination1 discrimination2 discrimination3
## [1,] 1.0000000 0.0000000 0.83209119
## [2,] 0.5222222 1.0000000 0.04473695
## [3,] 0.0000000 0.1354082 0.50485443
## [4,] 0.7666667 0.0000000 0.20597051
## [5,] 0.0000000 0.0000000 1.73387537
## [6,] 1.0111111 1.8054047 1.39546043
## [7,] 1.1333333 0.2424162 1.08530119
## [8,] 0.0000000 1.0190002 1.96102623
## [9,] 1.3777778 0.3723511 1.61804395
## [10,] 1.5000000 0.0000000 1.42167136
f <- list(
prob ~ mfa(ones, beta = get("difficulty")) +
mfe(ability1, beta = get("discrimination1")) +
mfe(ability2, beta = get("discrimination2")),
# + mfe(ability3, beta = get("discrimination3")),
size ~ I(1)
)
data_long <- sim_model(formula = f,
link_inv = list(pnorm, identity),
generator = rbinom,
responses = q,
n = n,
init_data = init_data
)
data_long <- dplyr::rename(data_long, subject = id,
item = response_label, y = response)
# VISUALIZE ITEM FACTOR DATA ---------------------------------------------------
explor <- data_long %>%
group_by(subject) %>%
summarize(endorse = mean(y),
ability1 = unique(ability1),
ability2 = unique(ability2),
# ability3 = unique(ability3),
x1 = unique(x1))
ggplot(explor, aes(ability1, endorse)) + geom_point(alpha = 0.5)

ggplot(explor, aes(ability2, endorse)) + geom_point(alpha = 0.5)

# ggplot(explor, aes(ability3, endorse)) + geom_point(alpha = 0.5)
# ggplot(explor, aes(x1, endorse)) + geom_point(alpha = 0.5)
# PREPARE DATA -----------------------------------------------------------------
response <- data_long$y
dist <- as.matrix(dist(dplyr::select(data_geo_wide, s1)))
# dist <- as.matrix(dist(dplyr::select(data_geo_wide, s1)[order(data_geo_wide$s1),]))
# dist <- dist[order(data_geo_wide$s1),]
n
## [1] 300
q
## [1] 10
m <- 2
iter <- 5 * 10 ^ 4
cor.params <- c(0.04, 0.04)
sig.params <- c(0.6 ^ 0.5, 0.6 ^ 0.5)
fix.sigma <- 0.4^0.5
# sigma_prop <- matrix(c(0.138, -0.023, -0.023, 0.1), 2) * 2.38 ^ 2 / 2
sigma_prop <- 0.001 * diag(5)
disc_mat <- cbind(discrimination1, discrimination2)
L_a <- lower.tri(disc_mat, diag = TRUE) * 1
T_gp <- diag(m)
# RUN --------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rcpp::sourceCpp("../src/mirt-gibss-sp.cpp")
source("../R/ggplot-mcmc.R")
# set.seed(5)
system.time(
samples <- ifa_gibbs_sp(response, dist, n, q, m, cor.params, sig.params,
Corr[1:2, 1:2], fix.sigma, sigma_prop, L_a, T_gp, 0.234,
iter)
)
## acceptance 0.0470042
## user system elapsed
## 2264.586 1390.031 916.322
samples_tib <- as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2)
summary(samples_tib)
## # A tibble: 3,634 x 6
## Parameters `2.5%` `10%` `50%` `90%` `97.5%`
## <fct> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl>
## 1 V1 -1.34 -1.02 -0.447 0.120 0.417
## 2 V2 -0.301 0.00585 0.618 1.28 1.63
## 3 V3 -1.44 -1.10 -0.490 0.0939 0.402
## 4 V4 0.671 1.09 1.88 2.75 3.24
## 5 V5 -1.46 -1.11 -0.503 0.0813 0.386
## 6 V6 -1.09 -0.777 -0.200 0.372 0.674
## 7 V7 -1.71 -1.35 -0.678 -0.0446 0.286
## 8 V8 -1.54 -1.18 -0.573 0.0181 0.335
## 9 V9 -0.0628 0.276 0.941 1.67 2.10
## 10 V10 -0.736 -0.433 0.156 0.773 1.11
## # ... with 3,624 more rows
samples_long <- gather(samples_tib)
as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, 0, 10, "c") %>%
gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, 0, 10, "a") %>%
gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2, 10, "a") %>%
gg_density(alpha = 0.5, ridges = TRUE, aes(fill = Parameters), scale = 4)
## Picking joint bandwidth of 0.0456

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2, 10, "theta") %>%
dplyr::select(1:100) %>%
gg_density(alpha = 0.5, ridges = TRUE, aes(fill = Parameters), scale = 4)
## Picking joint bandwidth of 0.0951

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, 0, 10, "theta") %>%
select(1:10) %>%
gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, 0, 10, "mgp_sd") %>%
gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, 0, 10, "mgp_phi") %>%
gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, 0, 10, "a") %>%
gg_density2d(`Discrimination 1`, `Discrimination 2`, each = 10,
keys = c("Item ", "Discrimination "),
highlight = c(discrimination1, discrimination2))
## Warning: Computation failed in `stat_density2d()`:
## bandwidths must be strictly positive

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, 0, 10, "a") %>%
gg_scatter(`Discrimination 1`, `Discrimination 2`, each = 10,
keys = c("Item ", "Discrimination "),
highlight = c(discrimination1, discrimination2))

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/ 2, select = "a") %>%
summary() %>%
mutate(param = c(discrimination1, discrimination2)) %>%
gg_errorbarh() +
geom_point(aes(param, Parameters), col = 3)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2, select = "c") %>%
summary() %>%
mutate(param = as.numeric(difficulty)) %>%
gg_errorbarh() +
geom_point(aes(param, Parameters), col = 3)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2, select = "theta") %>%
dplyr::select(1:300) %>%
summary() %>%
mutate(param = data_geo$response[1:300]) %>%
gg_errorbarh(sorted = TRUE) +
geom_point(aes(x = param), col = 3)

as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2, select = "theta") %>%
dplyr::select(301:600) %>%
summary() %>%
mutate(param = data_geo$response[301:600]) %>%
gg_errorbarh(sorted = TRUE) +
geom_point(aes(x = param), col = 3)

ability1_pred <- as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2, select = "theta") %>%
dplyr::select(1:300) %>%
summary() %>%
mutate(param = data_geo$response[1:300],
s1 = data_geo$s1[1:300],
s2 = s1,
estim = `50%`)
ability1_pred %>%
ggplot(aes(s1, `50%`)) +
geom_line() +
geom_line(aes(s1, param, col = "real"))

vg <- gstat::variogram(estim ~ 1, ~ s1 + s2, ability1_pred, cutoff = 1, width = 0.01)
ggplot(vg, aes(dist, gamma)) +
geom_point(aes(size = np)) +
geom_smooth() +
expand_limits(y = 0, x = 0) +
scale_x_continuous(limits = c(0, 0.7))
## `geom_smooth()` using method = 'loess' and formula 'y ~ x'
## Warning: Removed 30 rows containing non-finite values (stat_smooth).
## Warning: Removed 30 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

ability2_pred <- as_tibble.spmirt.list(samples, iter/2, select = "theta") %>%
dplyr::select(301:600) %>%
summary() %>%
mutate(param = data_geo$response[301:600],
s1 = data_geo$s1[301:600],
s2 = s1,
estim = `50%`)
ability2_pred %>%
ggplot(aes(s1, `50%`)) +
geom_line() +
geom_line(aes(s1, param, col = "real"))

vg <- gstat::variogram(estim ~ 1, ~ s1 + s2, ability2_pred, cutoff = 1, width = 0.005)
ggplot(vg, aes(dist, gamma)) +
geom_point(aes(size = np)) +
geom_smooth() +
expand_limits(y = 0, x = 0) +
scale_x_continuous(limits = c(0, 0.7))
## `geom_smooth()` using method = 'loess' and formula 'y ~ x'
## Warning: Removed 60 rows containing non-finite values (stat_smooth).
## Warning: Removed 60 rows containing missing values (geom_point).

# # # PREPARE DATA FOR MODELLING ---------------------------------------------------
# #
# # Y <- data_model %>% dplyr::select(id, response, response_label) %>%
# # spread(response_label, response) %>%
# # arrange(id) %>%
# # dplyr::select(-id) %>%
# # as.matrix()
# #
# # X <- data_model %>% dplyr::select(id, matches("^x[[:digit:]]+$")) %>%
# # unique() %>%
# # arrange(id) %>%
# # dplyr::select(-id) %>%
# # as.matrix()
# #
# # Beta <- matrix(beta, nrow = 1)
# # Sigma_proposal <- diag(1, 3)
# #
# # # RUN MODEL --------------------------------------------------------------------
# #
# # getwd()
# # Rcpp::sourceCpp("../src/multi-lm.cpp")
# # source("../R/ggplot-mcmc.R")
# #
# # iter <- 10^6
# # system.time(
# # samples <- multi_lm(Y, X, iter, 0.01 * Sigma_proposal, 0.001 * Sigma_proposal)
# # )
# # samples %>% map(~ tail(.))
# #
# # # apply(samples$beta, 2, mean)
# # # cor(samples$beta)
# #
# # # Visualize traces
# # as_tibble(samples, 0, 100, select = "beta") %>%
# # gg_trace(wrap = TRUE, alpha = 0.6)
# #
# # as_tibble(samples, 0, 100, select = "beta") %>% gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)
# # as_tibble(samples, 0, 100, select = "corr_chol") %>% gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)
# # as_tibble(samples, 0, 100, select = "corr") %>% gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)
# # as_tibble(samples, 0, 100, select = "sigmas") %>% gg_trace(alpha = 0.6)
# #
# # bla <- as_tibble(samples, iter/2, select = "sigmas")
# # cov(log(bla))
# # nrow(unique(bla)) / nrow(bla)
# #
# # bla <- as_tibble(samples, iter/2, select = "corr_chol")
# # cov(bla)
# # nrow(unique(bla)) / nrow(bla)
# #
# # # Visualize densities
# #
# # as_tibble(samples, iter / 2, select = "corr_chol") %>%
# # gg_density(aes(fill = Parameters), scale = 2, alpha = 0.5, ridges = TRUE)
# #
# # as_tibble(samples, iter / 2, select = "corr") %>%
# # gg_density(aes(fill = Parameters), scale = 1, alpha = 0.5, ridges = TRUE)
# #
# # # Visualize credible intervals
# # as_tibble(samples, iter / 2, select = "beta") %>%
# # summary() %>%
# # mutate(param = beta) %>%
# # gg_errorbarh() +
# # geom_point(aes(param, Parameters), col = 3)
# #
# # Corr_chol <- t(chol(Corr))
# # corr_chol <- Corr_chol[lower.tri(Corr_chol, diag = TRUE)]
# # corr <- Corr[lower.tri(Corr)]
# #
# # as_tibble(samples, iter / 2, select = "corr_chol") %>%
# # summary() %>%
# # mutate(param = corr_chol) %>%
# # gg_errorbarh() +
# # geom_point(aes(param, Parameters), col = 3)
# #
# # as_tibble(samples, iter / 2, select = "corr") %>%
# # summary() %>%
# # mutate(param = corr) %>%
# # gg_errorbarh() +
# # geom_point(aes(param, Parameters), col = 3)
# #
# #
# # as_tibble(samples, iter / 2 ,select = "sigmas") %>%
# # summary() %>%
# # mutate(param = sigmas) %>%
# # gg_errorbarh() +
# # geom_point(aes(param, Parameters), col = 3)
# #
# #
# # # Visualize credible intervals for all Parameters
# # as_tibble(samples, iter / 2) %>%
# # summary() %>%
# # mutate(param = c(beta, corr_chol, corr, sigmas)) %>%
# # gg_errorbar() +
# # geom_point(aes(Parameters, param), col = 3)
# #